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Red98
30230.2
365626.5
17728.0
Blue84
365525.6
2032.1
12628.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898970801001109884

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#31
30.20.9
28.129.1
Auto4.8
Teleop19.1
End6.3
blue by 1.9
20
#8
32.10.0
32.632.6
Auto4.8
Teleop19.3
End8.0
Second
177
#58
28.00.9
30.431.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.1
End5.9
Level
126
#50
28.00.0
27.627.6
Auto5.5
Teleop18.2
End4.3
Third
3656
#12
26.50.9
25.326.3
Auto4.8
Teleop15.5
End6.2
red by 0.9
3655
#57
25.60.0
23.923.9
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
36%Rocket oddsMissed26%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
99%HAB Docking oddsEarned92%HAB Docking oddsEarned