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Red56
30328.2
27914.5
753915.5
Blue63
321122.3
365626.5
751510.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686230405080905663

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#28
28.20.8
31.230.4
Auto4.9
Teleop16.8
End6.5
red by 1.7
3656
#12
26.50.1
26.326.3
Auto4.8
Teleop15.5
End6.2
Second
7539
#66
15.50.8
19.518.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End3.0
blue by 6.8
3211
#22
22.30.1
23.823.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.6
End6.1
Third
279
#38
14.50.8
13.913.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.2
End5.7
red by 3.9
7515
#39
10.60.1
9.09.0
Auto3.7
Teleop1.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsMissed93%HAB Docking oddsEarned