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Red75
222415.3
365525.6
23027.1
Blue91
5629.5
17328.2
22628.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7392204060801001201407591

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#24
27.10.4
30.130.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End6.9
blue by 2.4
56
#40
29.50.3
29.229.5
Auto4.1
Teleop16.1
End9.3
Second
3655
#57
25.60.4
24.524.9
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End6.5
blue by 3.3
226
#17
28.90.3
28.929.1
Auto5.4
Teleop15.4
End8.1
Third
2224
#65
15.30.4
14.815.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End4.7
blue by 12.9
173
#55
28.20.3
28.929.2
Auto5.2
Teleop16.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
48%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
91%HAB Docking oddsEarned97%HAB Docking oddsEarned