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Red79
124128.3
5629.5
222415.3
Blue87
150126.5
609025.0
333923.4
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8178506070901007987

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#40
29.50.0
29.529.4
Auto4.1
Teleop16.1
End9.3
red by 3.1
1501
#51
26.50.1
28.228.3
Auto5.3
Teleop13.7
End7.5
Second
1241
#27
28.30.0
31.731.7
Auto5.3
Teleop18.0
End5.1
red by 3.3
6090
#43
25.00.1
25.025.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.4
End5.6
Third
2224
#65
15.30.0
15.215.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End4.7
blue by 8.1
3339
#21
23.40.1
20.820.9
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
16%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
65%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsEarned