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Red108
4826.6
7833.9
40130.8
Blue72
751510.6
759821.2
365525.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935440608010012010872

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#4
33.91.3
32.834.2
Auto4.2
Teleop22.3
End7.4
red by 8.3
3655
#57
25.61.4
23.625.0
Auto5.1
Teleop14.0
End6.5
Second
401
#26
30.81.3
28.029.3
Auto4.6
Teleop20.3
End5.8
red by 9.6
7598
#67
21.21.4
18.619.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.7
End5.6
Third
48
#35
26.61.3
27.028.4
Auto5.4
Teleop15.4
End5.8
red by 16.1
7515
#39
10.61.4
9.010.4
Auto3.7
Teleop1.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
43%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
97%HAB Docking oddsEarned63%HAB Docking oddsEarned