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Red113
7833.9
285134.4
755330.2
Blue65
23729.7
753915.5
584720.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1056940608012014011365

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.2
35.635.8
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End5.8
red by 4.7
237
#30
29.70.0
27.227.1
Auto3.6
Teleop22.0
End4.2
Second
78
#4
33.90.2
31.231.4
Auto4.2
Teleop22.3
End7.4
red by 13.6
5847
#49
20.30.0
19.619.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End6.2
Third
7553
#29
30.20.2
32.933.2
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End8.5
red by 14.7
7539
#66
15.50.0
18.818.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
61%Rocket oddsEarned12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
98%HAB Docking oddsEarned51%HAB Docking oddsEarned