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Red81
428517.8
32923.9
180733.7
Blue65
753915.5
222415.3
40130.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836540601001208165

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#15
33.70.3
34.133.9
Auto4.5
Teleop22.9
End6.4
red by 2.9
401
#26
30.80.0
29.429.4
Auto4.6
Teleop20.3
End5.8
Second
329
#14
23.90.3
25.925.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End7.4
red by 8.4
7539
#66
15.50.0
16.416.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End3.0
Third
4285
#37
17.80.3
18.918.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End5.2
red by 2.5
2224
#65
15.30.0
15.815.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
19%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
90%HAB Docking oddsEarned53%HAB Docking oddsEarned