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Red70
261423.4
355016.9
608821.8
Blue64
645514.8
592624.7
753017.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656040507080907064

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#39
23.40.4
24.024.4
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End5.4
blue by 1.2
5926
#45
24.70.3
24.424.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End8.9
Second
6088
#41
21.80.4
20.921.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End7.3
red by 4.7
7530
#57
17.10.3
17.217.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End5.0
Third
3550
#53
16.90.4
16.516.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.4
End3.8
red by 2.0
6455
#61
14.80.3
14.815.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned68%HAB Docking oddsEarned