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Red73
364131.6
764515.6
403926.4
Blue58
299424.8
752318.4
45315.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8063401007358

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.6
32.732.1
Auto3.3
Teleop22.0
End6.3
red by 6.8
2994
#44
24.80.1
24.824.8
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End6.8
Second
26.40.6
26.626.0
Auto4.5
Teleop14.7
End7.1
red by 8.0
7523
#58
18.40.1
18.518.4
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End4.2
Third
7645
#34
15.60.6
16.215.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End6.0
blue by 0.3
453
#66
15.90.1
16.015.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
15%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
95%HAB Docking oddsEarned56%HAB Docking oddsEarned