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Red104
172926.2
206226.5
207529.3
Blue73
261128.5
409624.2
157424.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787105010015020010473

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#17
29.32.0
28.030.0
Auto3.7
Teleop20.6
End5.0
red by 0.8
2611
#42
28.50.4
29.730.0
Auto3.7
Teleop16.9
End7.9
Second
2062
#12
26.52.0
21.923.9
Auto3.9
Teleop19.2
End3.4
red by 1.9
1574
#30
24.60.4
19.519.9
Auto2.8
Teleop16.6
End5.2
Third
26.22.0
23.926.0
Auto4.2
Teleop16.4
End5.5
red by 2.0
4096
#59
24.20.4
18.518.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
24%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsEarned93%HAB Docking oddsEarned