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Red90
363023.4
220035.6
472823.7
Blue60
171831.1
753017.1
263826.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions777760657075808590959060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.5
32.232.6
Auto3.2
Teleop25.7
End6.7
red by 4.5
1718
#23
31.10.9
31.230.3
Auto4.8
Teleop19.9
End6.3
Second
4728
#25
23.70.6
19.720.3
Auto3.6
Teleop11.4
End8.7
blue by 2.6
2638
#15
26.40.9
28.227.3
Auto5.3
Teleop14.8
End6.3
Third
3630
#16
23.40.5
21.121.6
Auto3.6
Teleop14.8
End5.0
red by 6.3
7530
#57
17.11.1
13.912.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.6
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
94%HAB Docking oddsEarned58%HAB Docking oddsMissed