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Red78
220223.2
608821.8
364131.6
Blue74
261925.3
69431.8
574017.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74664060801007874

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.3
30.330.6
Auto3.3
Teleop22.0
End6.3
blue by 0.2
694
#36
31.80.8
28.429.2
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End8.2
Second
2202
#37
23.20.3
19.019.3
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End3.5
blue by 2.1
2619
#56
25.30.8
21.322.0
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End4.9
Third
6088
#41
21.80.3
20.921.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End7.3
red by 3.8
5740
#33
17.90.8
12.713.4
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed17%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
93%HAB Docking oddsEarned37%HAB Docking oddsEarned