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Red81
17227.5
645514.8
86228.9
Blue71
188529.8
490325.5
69431.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768840601001208171

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#29
28.90.6
27.428.0
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End6.5
blue by 2.9
694
#36
31.80.8
29.228.4
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End8.2
Second
172
#8
27.50.6
27.628.2
Auto4.1
Teleop16.0
End7.4
blue by 2.2
1885
#13
29.80.8
30.029.2
Auto4.5
Teleop20.4
End4.9
Third
6455
#61
14.80.6
16.917.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End3.4
blue by 10.7
4903
#14
25.50.8
23.923.1
Auto3.7
Teleop17.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsEarned21%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
89%HAB Docking oddsEarned84%HAB Docking oddsEarned