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Red76
399023.9
472823.7
602421.8
Blue35
207529.3
355016.9
764515.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727040506080901007635

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3990
#40
23.90.1
26.126.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End5.2
blue by 5.5
2075
#17
29.32.1
31.929.7
Auto3.7
Teleop20.6
End5.0
Second
4728
#25
23.70.1
21.021.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.4
End8.7
red by 6.8
3550
#53
16.92.1
16.414.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.4
End3.8
Third
6024
#38
21.80.1
21.021.1
Auto4.2
Teleop13.8
End3.8
red by 6.2
7645
#34
15.62.1
18.516.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned19%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned88%HAB Docking oddsMissed