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Red65
497024.3
171831.1
355016.9
Blue68
267318.0
69431.8
779712.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70592040801006568

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#23
31.10.3
29.429.1
Auto4.8
Teleop19.9
End6.3
blue by 0.8
694
#36
31.80.6
28.429.0
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End8.2
Second
4970
#32
24.30.3
22.622.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End7.3
red by 6.3
2673
#28
18.00.6
15.616.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End3.8
Third
3550
#53
16.90.3
14.314.0
Auto5.7
Teleop7.4
End3.8
red by 4.2
7797
#60
12.60.6
12.012.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsEarned4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned80%HAB Docking oddsEarned