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Red65
206226.5
157424.6
341427.5
Blue80
69431.8
17631.0
261423.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738340601001206580

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#54
27.50.3
27.627.3
Auto5.4
Teleop14.5
End7.7
blue by 4.3
694
#36
31.80.3
28.127.8
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End8.2
Second
2062
#12
26.50.3
22.221.9
Auto3.9
Teleop19.2
End3.4
blue by 4.5
176
#2
31.00.3
28.828.5
Auto3.2
Teleop20.5
End7.3
Third
1574
#30
24.60.3
19.819.5
Auto2.8
Teleop16.6
End5.2
red by 1.1
2614
#39
23.40.3
21.321.0
Auto3.8
Teleop14.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsMissed96%HAB Docking oddsMissed