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Red64
141827.1
752318.4
452523.3
Blue46
645514.8
220223.2
363023.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69632040801006446

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#46
27.10.5
27.527.0
Auto3.7
Teleop18.0
End5.5
red by 3.7
3630
#16
23.41.3
22.521.2
Auto3.6
Teleop14.8
End5.0
Second
4525
#21
23.30.5
21.521.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End8.8
red by 0.1
2202
#37
23.21.3
19.718.4
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End3.5
Third
7523
#58
18.40.5
16.516.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End4.2
red by 3.6
6455
#61
14.81.3
17.516.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
15%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed