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Red82
494633.0
512515.7
34032.2
Blue73
207529.3
749125.1
572423.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80806570758590958273

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4946
#22
33.00.4
30.130.5
Auto5.3
Teleop21.1
End6.7
red by 3.7
2075
#17
29.30.2
29.729.5
Auto3.7
Teleop20.6
End5.0
Second
340
#18
32.20.4
30.330.8
Auto4.0
Teleop20.6
End7.5
red by 7.1
7491
#43
25.10.2
24.424.1
Auto5.3
Teleop14.1
End5.7
Third
5125
#63
15.70.4
15.015.5
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End3.3
blue by 7.5
5724
#64
23.20.2
22.622.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
24%Rocket oddsEarned13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
92%HAB Docking oddsEarned94%HAB Docking oddsEarned