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Red86
779712.6
178729.9
150632.7
Blue105
207529.3
263826.4
608821.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728520406010012086105

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.71.2
28.729.9
Auto3.6
Teleop21.3
End7.8
red by 3.3
2075
#17
29.30.3
29.529.8
Auto3.7
Teleop20.6
End5.0
Second
1787
#10
29.91.2
27.028.2
Auto5.1
Teleop20.4
End4.5
red by 3.6
2638
#15
26.40.3
28.328.6
Auto5.3
Teleop14.8
End6.3
Third
7797
#60
12.61.2
12.613.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End4.1
blue by 9.1
6088
#41
21.80.3
22.422.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed22%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
90%HAB Docking oddsEarned98%HAB Docking oddsEarned