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Red89
490325.5
497024.3
86228.9
Blue84
341427.5
572423.2
468026.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80806570758590958984

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#29
28.90.9
29.230.1
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End6.5
red by 1.4
3414
#54
27.50.5
27.027.5
Auto5.4
Teleop14.5
End7.7
Second
4903
#14
25.50.9
23.824.7
Auto3.7
Teleop17.6
End4.2
blue by 0.8
4680
#31
26.30.5
27.027.5
Auto5.2
Teleop14.2
End7.0
Third
4970
#32
24.30.9
22.323.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End7.3
red by 1.1
5724
#64
23.20.5
22.322.8
Auto5.9
Teleop10.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
89%HAB Docking oddsEarned95%HAB Docking oddsEarned