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Red56
286910.1
261925.3
141827.1
Blue58
270223.6
592624.7
601614.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64660501001505658

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#46
27.10.3
27.727.3
Auto3.7
Teleop18.0
End5.5
red by 2.5
5926
#45
24.70.5
25.625.2
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End8.9
Second
2619
#56
25.30.3
23.923.6
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End4.9
red by 1.6
2702
#24
23.60.5
24.023.5
Auto3.8
Teleop13.9
End6.0
Third
2869
#67
10.10.3
9.18.8
Auto4.8
Teleop2.7
End2.6
blue by 4.1
6016
#65
14.10.5
12.712.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
50%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed86%HAB Docking oddsEarned