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Red95
157424.6
150632.7
403926.4
Blue82
572423.2
171831.1
220223.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8376506070901001109582

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.71.1
29.931.0
Auto3.6
Teleop21.3
End7.8
red by 1.6
1718
#23
31.10.7
29.930.6
Auto4.8
Teleop19.9
End6.3
Second
26.41.1
26.227.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.7
End7.1
red by 3.2
2202
#37
23.20.7
19.019.7
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End3.5
Third
1574
#30
24.61.1
22.523.6
Auto2.8
Teleop16.6
End5.2
red by 1.4
5724
#64
23.20.7
22.823.5
Auto5.9
Teleop10.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
98%HAB Docking oddsEarned69%HAB Docking oddsEarned