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Red69
55823.6
86228.9
307521.4
Blue85
472823.7
17631.0
409624.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82806570758590956985

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#29
28.90.7
29.528.7
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End6.5
blue by 2.1
176
#2
31.00.6
31.031.6
Auto3.2
Teleop20.5
End7.3
Second
558
#35
23.60.7
25.825.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.7
End6.8
blue by 0.5
4096
#59
24.20.6
22.222.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End6.9
Third
3075
#55
21.40.7
22.021.3
Auto3.0
Teleop14.5
End3.8
blue by 2.4
4728
#25
23.70.6
22.222.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.4
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsEarned