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Red82
207529.3
109116.0
364131.6
Blue64
86228.9
171831.1
454126.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818640601001208264

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.2
31.031.2
Auto3.3
Teleop22.0
End6.3
red by 0.5
1718
#23
31.11.3
32.531.2
Auto4.8
Teleop19.9
End6.3
Second
2075
#17
29.30.2
27.828.0
Auto3.7
Teleop20.6
End5.0
red by 0.5
862
#29
28.91.3
29.628.2
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End6.5
Third
1091
#62
16.00.2
17.417.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End2.9
blue by 10.1
4541
#26
26.11.3
19.117.7
Auto3.8
Teleop19.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
71%Rocket oddsMissed21%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
98%HAB Docking oddsEarned85%HAB Docking oddsMissed