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Red39
12018.9
741714.3
602421.8
Blue80
206226.5
490325.5
178729.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628320401001203980

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6024
#38
21.81.3
22.721.4
Auto4.2
Teleop13.8
End3.8
blue by 8.2
1787
#10
29.90.1
29.129.2
Auto5.1
Teleop20.4
End4.5
Second
120
#50
18.91.3
20.318.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.8
End3.3
blue by 7.6
2062
#12
26.50.1
25.325.4
Auto3.9
Teleop19.2
End3.4
Third
7417
#68
14.31.3
15.614.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End2.4
blue by 11.2
4903
#14
25.50.1
24.324.4
Auto3.7
Teleop17.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsEarned