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Red63
295717.2
270223.6
188529.8
Blue48
779712.6
413026.1
403926.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747040506080901006348

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#13
29.80.5
29.929.4
Auto4.5
Teleop20.4
End4.9
red by 3.4
26.41.2
27.826.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.7
End7.1
Second
2702
#24
23.60.5
23.022.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.9
End6.0
blue by 2.5
4130
#27
26.11.2
26.024.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End6.0
Third
2957
#51
17.20.5
17.316.8
Auto4.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
red by 4.5
7797
#60
12.61.2
12.611.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsMissed93%HAB Docking oddsEarned