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Red107
304424.9
354231.8
192328.3
Blue78
50327.1
178122.6
283020.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857340608010012010778

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.81.8
30.932.7
Auto4.2
Teleop21.7
End6.0
red by 4.8
503
#41
27.10.6
25.926.5
Auto4.3
Teleop16.8
End6.0
Second
28.31.8
26.628.4
Auto3.4
Teleop19.2
End5.7
red by 5.6
1781
#38
22.60.6
22.122.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End7.0
Third
3044
#16
24.91.8
23.224.9
Auto5.3
Teleop14.1
End5.6
red by 4.6
2830
#58
20.30.6
21.321.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsEarned6%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned89%HAB Docking oddsMissed