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Red58
77221.4
35315.6
102422.1
Blue55
226517.7
414326.1
767316.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5262102030407080905855

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#29
22.10.6
19.119.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End4.9
blue by 4.0
4143
#28
26.10.2
26.926.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End7.8
Second
772
#34
21.40.6
19.620.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End6.9
red by 3.7
2265
#59
17.70.2
16.115.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End3.2
Third
353
#48
15.60.7
10.511.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End4.4
blue by 0.8
7673
#63
16.40.3
15.415.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned52%HAB Docking oddsEarned