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Red57
77221.4
534822.6
233727.2
Blue84
5130.8
355530.4
640117.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7776607080905784

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#32
27.21.2
27.826.6
Auto5.2
Teleop16.1
End5.9
blue by 3.6
51
#9
30.80.8
28.329.1
Auto4.6
Teleop17.2
End9.0
Second
5348
#64
22.61.4
24.122.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.4
End5.2
blue by 7.8
3555
#43
30.40.8
29.530.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.8
End7.1
Third
772
#34
21.41.2
20.719.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End6.9
red by 3.7
6401
#37
17.80.8
14.014.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
97%HAB Docking oddsEarned93%HAB Docking oddsEarned