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Red80
550121.5
169034.0
23626.9
Blue73
25016.9
121829.8
21727.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8075506070901001108073

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.3
33.633.9
Auto4.7
Teleop22.3
End7.0
red by 4.1
1218
#19
29.80.3
27.827.5
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End7.7
Second
236
#22
26.90.3
22.122.3
Auto4.4
Teleop16.6
End5.9
blue by 0.9
217
#27
27.80.3
27.327.0
Auto3.9
Teleop17.4
End6.5
Third
5501
#56
21.50.3
20.220.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End7.5
red by 4.6
250
#54
16.90.3
16.316.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
28%Rocket oddsMissed30%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsEarned91%HAB Docking oddsEarned