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Red113
22538.2
640117.8
370738.9
Blue101
21727.8
354231.8
508427.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9691607080100110120113101

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.91.5
37.939.4
Auto3.9
Teleop25.4
End9.7
red by 7.1
31.80.8
32.733.4
Auto4.2
Teleop21.7
End6.0
Second
225
#3
38.21.5
36.437.9
Auto5.5
Teleop25.3
End7.3
red by 10.4
217
#27
27.80.8
27.428.2
Auto3.9
Teleop17.4
End6.5
Third
6401
#37
17.81.5
16.317.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.6
End5.3
blue by 9.2
5084
#61
27.00.8
26.227.0
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
23%Rocket oddsMissed43%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
89%HAB Docking oddsEarned95%HAB Docking oddsEarned