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Red78
314625.8
581124.3
250021.8
Blue79
425324.2
304424.9
167629.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70812040601001201407879

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#40
25.80.8
25.426.1
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End6.1
blue by 3.2
29.00.1
30.130.0
Auto5.1
Teleop17.8
End6.0
Second
5811
#49
24.30.8
21.422.1
Auto4.7
Teleop16.9
End2.6
blue by 0.6
3044
#16
24.90.1
23.223.1
Auto5.3
Teleop14.1
End5.6
Third
2500
#50
21.80.8
19.920.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.7
End2.6
blue by 2.4
4253
#13
24.20.1
23.823.7
Auto5.0
Teleop13.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed19%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsMissed81%HAB Docking oddsEarned