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Red100
5130.8
392623.0
17524.1
Blue92
1628.9
595124.5
121829.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions788320406010012014010092

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#9
30.81.5
29.030.6
Auto4.6
Teleop17.2
End9.0
red by 1.0
1218
#19
29.80.9
28.329.2
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End7.7
Second
175
#45
24.11.5
21.923.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End6.2
blue by 4.8
16
#36
28.90.9
28.129.0
Auto4.0
Teleop19.8
End5.1
Third
3926
#57
23.01.5
23.124.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.6
End6.7
blue by 1.5
5951
#15
24.50.9
21.822.8
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed33%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
95%HAB Docking oddsEarned90%HAB Docking oddsEarned