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Red74
550121.5
178122.6
314625.8
Blue87
179222.4
448126.6
534822.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7473707276788082867487

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#40
25.80.1
26.126.0
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End6.1
blue by 0.8
4481
#23
26.61.0
26.727.6
Auto3.6
Teleop15.2
End7.8
Second
1781
#38
22.60.1
22.222.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End7.0
red by 0.1
5348
#64
22.61.0
21.622.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.4
End5.2
Third
5501
#56
21.50.1
21.421.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.5
End7.5
blue by 1.0
1792
#46
22.41.0
21.322.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsEarned84%HAB Docking oddsEarned