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Red36
57229.6
652715.0
74420.4
Blue14
125113.5
8014.9
316411.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423502060801003614

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#6
20.41.1
15.714.6
Auto3.3
Teleop9.7
End7.4
red by 6.9
1251
#31
13.52.1
12.110.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.6
End2.9
Second
6527
#22
15.01.1
13.312.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End4.6
red by 3.5
3164
#56
11.62.1
11.19.0
Auto4.9
Teleop4.2
End2.5
Third
5722
#47
9.61.1
10.79.7
Auto1.5
Teleop6.5
End1.6
red by 4.7
801
#64
4.92.1
9.67.5
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed