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Red30
672212.3
279711.5
159216.2
Blue36
164913.7
462212.3
41795.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423201020506070803036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#46
16.22.5
15.112.6
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End2.4
red by 2.5
1649
#54
13.70.7
11.510.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End1.9
Second
6722
#24
12.32.5
11.28.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Level
4622
#40
12.30.7
10.710.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.2
End0.7
Third
2797
#59
11.52.5
13.310.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End2.8
red by 6.0
4179
#39
5.50.7
7.77.0
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed