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Red34
723110.9
514512.5
411813.3
Blue41
575315.8
164913.7
177223.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413902060801001203441

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4118
#44
13.30.9
12.411.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 10.6
1772
#10
23.80.4
14.715.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.7
End6.3
Second
5145
#55
12.50.9
13.212.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End3.0
blue by 3.3
5753
#13
15.80.4
11.511.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.3
End4.0
Third
7231
#50
10.90.9
13.312.4
Auto5.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 2.8
1649
#54
13.70.4
11.111.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed