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Red42
497214.7
685014.3
584212.9
Blue45
23322.4
745013.7
164913.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44400102030506070804245

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4972
#25
14.70.0
14.814.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End4.8
blue by 7.7
233
#14
22.40.7
15.416.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.5
End6.6
Second
6850
#29
14.30.0
12.712.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.9
red by 0.6
7450
#15
13.70.7
12.813.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.6
End3.3
Third
5842
#42
12.90.0
14.414.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End3.8
blue by 0.8
1649
#54
13.70.7
10.210.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsEarned38%HAB Docking oddsEarned