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Red43
279711.5
152315.7
584212.9
Blue52
190219.4
647314.6
355615.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40440102030506070804352

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1523
#45
15.70.5
13.813.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End4.1
blue by 3.6
1902
#30
19.40.7
17.217.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Second
5842
#42
12.90.5
14.413.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End3.8
blue by 2.4
3556
#38
15.31.1
13.414.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End5.7
Third
2797
#59
11.50.5
9.28.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End2.8
blue by 3.1
14.61.1
11.312.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed