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Red51
456213.3
393215.7
575315.8
Blue30
685014.3
447110.9
57229.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44342030405060705130

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5753
#13
15.80.7
16.116.8
Auto2.5
Teleop9.3
End4.0
red by 1.5
6850
#29
14.30.2
12.712.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.9
Second
3932
#16
15.70.7
12.813.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.8
End7.8
red by 4.8
4471
#62
10.90.2
10.510.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.1
End2.8
Third
4562
#21
13.30.7
13.013.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End5.1
red by 3.6
5722
#47
9.60.2
8.78.5
Auto1.5
Teleop6.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed