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Red36
106513.5
362713.5
159216.2
Blue64
743112.1
8626.6
174418.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3653102030406070803664

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#46
16.20.2
14.114.3
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End2.4
blue by 10.5
86
#7
26.60.9
22.423.3
Auto2.9
Teleop17.4
End6.4
Second
3627
#20
13.50.2
8.78.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End6.1
blue by 5.4
1744
#11
18.91.6
18.219.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End5.4
Third
1065
#52
13.50.2
11.211.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.8
End2.5
red by 1.4
7431
#34
12.11.6
9.411.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed66%HAB Docking oddsEarned