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Red43
527612.3
215224.1
9458.9
Blue26
77749.1
456213.3
772812.2
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413410203050604326

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.10.1
19.619.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End8.3
red by 10.8
4562
#21
13.31.0
13.712.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End5.1
Second
5276
#36
12.30.1
11.411.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
red by 0.1
7728
#28
12.21.0
10.39.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End3.4
Third
945
#60
8.90.1
8.38.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End0.4
blue by 0.2
7774
#49
9.11.0
8.17.1
Auto1.9
Teleop3.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed