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Red33
745013.7
685014.3
672212.3
Blue45
159216.2
125113.5
18024.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374920304060703345

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6850
#29
14.30.9
12.511.5
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.9
blue by 10.2
180
#19
24.60.2
20.120.0
Auto3.9
Teleop16.0
End4.6
Second
7450
#15
13.70.9
12.511.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.6
End3.3
blue by 2.5
1592
#46
16.20.2
14.314.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End2.4
Third
6722
#24
12.30.9
10.59.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End1.9
blue by 1.2
1251
#31
13.50.2
11.911.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed