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Red68
8626.6
17923.0
71939.8
Blue52
23322.4
775414.4
341013.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534410203040607080906852

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#7
26.61.2
23.324.5
Auto2.9
Teleop17.4
End6.4
red by 4.3
233
#14
22.41.1
16.117.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.5
End6.6
Second
179
#3
23.02.0
19.321.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.2
End6.0
red by 8.6
14.41.1
13.414.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End6.4
Third
7193
#26
9.82.0
7.89.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End1.4
blue by 4.2
3410
#53
13.91.1
12.213.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned56%HAB Docking oddsEarned