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Red76
106513.5
18024.6
57229.6
Blue59
279711.5
514512.5
38627.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424720306070807659

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#19
24.62.0
20.021.9
Auto3.9
Teleop16.0
End4.6
blue by 2.8
386
#2
27.31.6
24.426.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.4
End8.1
Second
1065
#52
13.52.0
11.613.5
Auto3.2
Teleop7.8
End2.5
red by 1.0
5145
#55
12.51.6
11.813.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End3.0
Third
5722
#47
9.62.0
7.89.8
Auto1.5
Teleop6.5
End1.6
blue by 1.9
2797
#59
11.51.6
8.510.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed55%HAB Docking oddsEarned