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Red51
341013.9
316411.6
411813.3
Blue58
447110.9
190219.4
138219.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36452030405060705158

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3410
#53
13.90.6
13.413.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End3.1
blue by 5.4
1902
#30
19.41.0
17.418.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Second
4118
#44
13.30.6
11.011.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 5.9
1382
#23
19.11.7
14.315.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.3
End3.3
Third
3164
#56
11.60.6
9.510.0
Auto4.9
Teleop4.2
End2.5
red by 0.6
4471
#62
10.91.7
11.212.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed