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Red39
67437.1
527612.3
8626.6
Blue48
71939.8
547221.8
652715.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45472030405060703948

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#7
26.60.3
24.524.2
Auto2.9
Teleop17.4
End6.4
red by 4.9
5472
#17
21.80.2
19.519.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.8
End5.3
Second
5276
#36
12.30.4
11.511.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 2.7
6527
#22
15.00.4
15.115.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End4.6
Third
6743
#63
7.10.4
7.16.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End-0.6
blue by 2.7
7193
#26
9.80.4
9.810.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed