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Red68
632212.7
23322.4
159216.2
Blue26
514512.5
67437.1
456213.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47381020306070806826

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#14
22.42.0
19.221.3
Auto5.2
Teleop10.5
End6.6
red by 9.1
4562
#21
13.30.9
14.213.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End5.1
Second
1592
#46
16.22.0
14.216.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End2.4
red by 3.7
5145
#55
12.50.9
13.412.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End3.0
Third
6322
#48
12.72.0
10.712.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End3.8
red by 5.6
6743
#63
7.10.9
8.07.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed