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Red51
32429.2
8626.6
672212.3
Blue40
365314.8
411813.3
279711.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49421020306070805140

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#7
26.60.3
25.826.1
Auto2.9
Teleop17.4
End6.4
red by 11.8
3653
#35
14.80.1
14.814.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.8
End3.7
Second
6722
#24
12.30.4
11.912.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End1.9
blue by 0.9
4118
#44
13.30.1
13.213.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Third
3242
#41
9.20.4
8.79.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End2.1
blue by 2.3
2797
#59
11.50.1
11.511.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed