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Red97
136923.9
393224.9
459218.9
Blue79
215225.8
547221.3
682317.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696840506080909779

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.1
24.224.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End8.4
blue by 0.9
2152
#19
25.80.1
25.725.8
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End8.4
Second
1369
#10
23.90.1
23.223.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.0
End6.0
red by 2.6
21.30.1
21.221.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.2
End4.2
Third
4592
#53
18.90.1
18.018.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End3.5
red by 1.7
6823
#35
17.20.1
17.217.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End3.7